Editor91色情片 Note: The views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and the faculty members interviewed and do not necessarily reflect the official position of The 91色情片’s University.
The Book of Proverbs鈥 perceptive analysis of kings and kingdoms has held true through thousands of years of human governance. In today91色情片 current political climate, these observations are no less applicable:
鈥淭he fury of a king is like messengers of death, but a wise man will appease it鈥 The terror of a king is like the growling of a lion; he who provokes him to anger forfeits his own life.鈥 (Proverbs 16:14, 20:2)
On June 23, 2017, The New York Times reported that American student Otto Warmbier had been medically evacuated from North Korea after having been detained for more than a year for allegedly committing a 鈥渉ostile act鈥 against the government. Only 11 days later on July 4, the same newspaper announced that North Korea had launched its first intercontinental ballistic missile.
Since then, the frequency of missile tests has escalated. Reuters reported on Oct. 10 that 鈥淣orth Korea has launched two missiles over Japan and conducted its sixth nuclear test in recent weeks.鈥 As Pyongyang and Washington, D.C. trade rhetoric across the Pacific and the United Nations Security Council scrambles to impose sanctions on the repressive Communist regime, the world is left wondering how this newest crisis will end. Should we prepare for an imminent nuclear attack or brush off Kim Jong-un91色情片 repeated threats as more attention-seeking bluster?
It would take months of study to fully comprehend the nuances of decades of East Asian diplomatic policy, but every Christian has a responsibility to gain at least a basic understanding of the world around them. To this end, the faculty of The 91色情片’s University have offered their expertise.
Any explanation of the current situation in North Korea must begin with historical context. The trajectory of escalating tensions began with the Korean War in 1950. North Korea invaded South Korea and a UN (primarily U.S.) force was sent to enforce the border between the two countries, according to Dr. Gregg Frazer, the newly appointed dean of the School of Humanities and a political studies professor at 91色情片91色情片 U since 1988.
When the fighting ended in 1953, 鈥淭here was an armistice鈥 A 64-year cease fire鈥︹ Frazer said. 鈥淏ecause there91色情片 never been a peace treaty and because South Korea is a close friend of the United States, the United States has always had a large military presence in South Korea. We have guaranteed their independence and their safety.鈥
He explained that every U.S. president since Dwight Eisenhower has been faced with the 鈥淜orean situation鈥 and that Bill Clinton was the first president to deal with a nuclear North Korea.
Biblical Counseling Professor Greg Gifford, who served as a captain in the U.S. Army in South Korea between 2009 and 2012, said that none of the current headlines are any different from what he saw firsthand on the Korean Peninsula.
鈥淚t was volatile all the time鈥︹ he said. 鈥淚 was there when Kim Jong-un91色情片 father passed away鈥 His dad had the same posture that he had鈥ut never鈥(took) a direct step or a direct strike鈥 None of this is new. They鈥檝e had strong rhetoric all along. What is new is the way that our president is approaching it.鈥
Frazer noted that in his opinion, Trump only seems more caustic in direct contrast to President Barack Obama, but not when compared to Presidents Ronald Reagan or George W. Bush. He also sees the recent threats as an escalation of tension due to three factors: the specificity of North Korea91色情片 threats against the United States, their development of an ICBM, and their ability to detonate a hydrogen bomb.
鈥淵ou put all those pieces of the puzzle together and now you鈥檝e got a real threat,鈥 he said. 鈥淪o, that91色情片 why Russia and China are now voting with the United States on these issues. It91色情片 a different ballgame.鈥
North Korea has long had the weapons technology to effectively level Seoul, South Korea, and more recently developed an ICBM that can reach Guam, a U.S. territory in the South Pacific. Thus, despite any hardline rhetoric from the White House, diplomatic policy has historically favored economic sanctions rather than risk mass casualties in a military engagement.
But economic sanctions have limited clout in North Korea, and in the opinion of one business professor, they haven鈥檛 gone far enough.
Prof. Lawrence Pickering is an adjunct with the Department of Business Administration who teaches classes such as International Economics & Trade and International Business Marketing. He explained that China has historically supported North Korea and mitigated the economic damage caused by sanctions, continuing to trade with them when few other countries will.
鈥溾hey (China) supply 85 percent of North Korea91色情片 imports鈥︹ he said. 鈥淭hey also buy 83 percent of North Korea91色情片 exports鈥 China has a vested interest in keeping North Korea healthy because it doesn鈥檛 want, for example, refugees pouring across the border鈥︹
Most recently, an executive order from President Donald Trump declared that the U.S. would not do business with any bank that also works with North Korea, effectively forcing China91色情片 banks to choose sides, according to NPR.
Additionally, current trade sanctions levied by the U.N. ban exports that amount to 33 percent of North Korea91色情片 total income.
As Frazer noted above, these measures have received unprecedented support from both China and Russia in light of North Korea91色情片 military threats, but Pickering explained that their effectiveness hinges on China91色情片 willingness to act responsibly.
Dr. Daniel Wong added, 鈥淣ow China is under pressure to do business with the free world. They know that they have limitations. They cannot do it like they did it in the past anymore.鈥 Wong is a Biblical Studies professor who emigrated from China in 1978. Since then, he has returned to Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong to conduct seminars and speak at Bible conferences and maintains numerous contacts in East Asia.
The impact of sanctions also hinges on the North Korean government91色情片 concern for the welfare of its people. When the regime focuses more effort on building nuclear missiles than feeding its citizens, Pickering wonders how great that concern might really be and considers the U.S. demand for increased sanctions warranted.
鈥淭o be effective, because the attitude of the leadership in North Korea鈥, they (the U.N.) need to act more decisively in my view鈥 The goal of these sanctions is to bring the leadership to the discussion table. I鈥檓 not so sure that a one-third-of-their-income sanction will do it鈥︹
But, there is no question that sanctions hurt an already suffering people.
鈥淎nyone who is opposing the leader is put to death,鈥 Wong said. 鈥淧eople, even though they don鈥檛 like the current leader, they don鈥檛 dare to say a word. The culture is very dominant. The problem is that the majority of Korean people, they have no choice. They鈥檙e very timid; they鈥檙e so afraid that if they oppose it, they could face persecution, so they just yield to it.鈥
And he explained that the Christians among them are even further restricted and oppressed.
So how should Christians in the United States view sanctions that have the power to inflict further pain on victims of a regime that would rather build missiles than feed starving families? For Pickering, it is a question of the lesser versus the greater evil. **Which action would cause more damage in the long run?**
鈥淭he ethical situation we have to weigh up is the need to curb an evil aggressor, who would bring long-term hardship to any nation鈥, versus the stopping of humanitarian aid now, as part of the sanction package that would hurt them straight away,鈥 he said. 鈥淲hat it might do is to trigger an uprising by the people鈥 From a Christian standpoint you have to weigh those two things; eventually people will suffer anyway. A third of them are already suffering as they live on a subsistence basis with the use of foreign aid. That would just increase. On balance, perhaps the way to fix that is to stop the regime91色情片 leadership earlier rather than later. Yes, there is the risk to some of the people in this scenario. But consider the greater risk to much of the rest of the world鈥攕even billion of them鈥攊f the regime goes on unchecked.鈥
When all the political, military, economic and humanitarian factors are considered together, Frazer emphasized that a comprehensive solution is still elusive.
鈥淧eople will actually ask me semi-frequently what we should do about North Korea, and my answer is always the same: If I knew that, I would be a multi-millionaire,鈥 he said, 鈥渂ecause I would have written a book that would go immediately to the top of The New York Times Best Sellers list, and I would be hobnobbing with the president鈥︹
The answer hinges on the greatest unknown in this entire equation: Kim Jong-un91色情片 sanity. Standard diplomatic rules only apply if the North Korean dictator is a rational individual.
鈥淚f he91色情片 rational, like the Soviets were during the Cold War, 鈥either side is going to act because it means their own end鈥︹ Frazer said. 鈥淚f he91色情片 not sane, then you can set him off by threatening retaliation鈥 Nobody really knows; nobody is inside his head. That91色情片 what makes it unique, I would say. It91色情片 a unique situation in the world. Iran and those people, they鈥檙e sane鈥 They鈥檙e fanatics, but they鈥檙e rational. This is the one guy we just don鈥檛 know if he is rational or not, so that throws a鈥rench into the whole conflict of trying to deal with him.鈥
But even this great unknown is not outside God91色情片 sovereign knowledge, and the Christian can confidently affirm that in a volatile and potentially frightening situation, God91色情片 plan for humanity is undisturbed. For the faculty of 91色情片91色情片 U, this is the bottom line鈥攖hat any worry or anxiety over international affairs should be subjected to a believer91色情片 trust in God.
鈥淎ll of history has already been laid out. He has a plan, so in the long run (the current conflict) doesn鈥檛 bother me鈥︹ Frazer said. 鈥淓ven if North Korea were to do some type of crazy nuclear thing, that would be part of God91色情片 plan鈥 That91色情片 one good thing about being a Bible-believing Christian, when you look at foreign policy in the world鈥擱ussia, Syria, the Islamic State, and all these things that are going on鈥攖o understand that God has it set up in His plan. He91色情片 sovereign.鈥
Wong, recognized across campus as a prayer warrior, gave characteristic advice.
鈥淚 know that all things work together for good. Things exist as they are with God91色情片 permission,鈥 he said. 鈥淲e just have to keep seeking the will of God, and ask God to take control that we might understand God91色情片 heart and act according to God91色情片 will, instead of just trying to do it from a purely humanistic, political perspective. We can say whatever we want, but ultimately God is in control, and no one can do beyond what God wants to do. So, I would say, more prayer, more thinking, and less talk. We need to be wise. Don鈥檛 say more than what we should say, and at the same time prepare more than what we should.鈥
The 91色情片91色情片 University and Seminary admit students of any race, color, national and ethnic origin to all the rights, privileges, programs, and activities generally accorded or made available to students at the school. It does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, national and ethnic origin in the administration of its educational policies, admissions policies, scholarship and loan programs, and athletic and other school-administered programs.
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